{"id":45418,"date":"2025-03-12T02:41:30","date_gmt":"2025-03-12T02:41:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/?p=45418"},"modified":"2025-03-12T02:41:36","modified_gmt":"2025-03-12T02:41:36","slug":"its-russia-that-may-now-be-feeling-the-pressure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/?p=45418","title":{"rendered":"It&#8217;s Russia that may now be feeling the pressure"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>BBC:   <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As US Secretary of State Marco Rubio says, &#8220;the ball is now in Russia&#8217;s court.&#8221; This is a significant moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The joint statement from the US and Ukraine, after a long day of talks in Jeddah, contains several key lines, perhaps none more important than this: &#8220;The United States will communicate to Russia that Russian reciprocity is the key to achieving peace.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We&#8217;ve heard a lot, in recent weeks, about what Donald Trump expects from Ukraine and what sort of blunt instruments the White House is used to bend Kyiv to its will.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, it seems, it&#8217;s time for Russia&#8217;s intentions to be tested, in public.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Donald Trump&#8217;s dealings with Vladimir Putin have so far been shrouded in uncertainty, with no obvious sign of pressure to balance that being exerted on Volodymyr Zelensky.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tuesday&#8217;s US-Ukrainian statement doesn&#8217;t imply that Mr Trump has suddenly changed his tune towards Mr Zelensky. Theirs is a thorny relationship, born of many years of mutual mistrust.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the ugly cloud of acrimony generated by that fractious Oval Office encounter 11 days ago may start to dissipate as the real business of peace-making gets under way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the immediate resumption of US intelligence sharing and security assistance to Ukraine, after a suspension that lasted mere days, it&#8217;s Russia that may now be feeling the pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These are still early days, with a mass of detail to be settled in subsequent negotiations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The statement speaks of &#8220;substantive details&#8221; on a permanent end to the war and the sort of guarantees Ukraine can expect &#8220;for their long-term security and prosperity&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the wording of the last paragraph echoes Washington&#8217;s view that security and prosperity can be achieved through the conclusion of the much-discussed critical minerals deal, rather than the sort of concrete military assurances Kyiv has been seeking.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Zelensky and Trump, it says, have agreed to strike a deal &#8220;as soon as possible&#8221;. How a purely commercial arrangement can prevent hostile Russian action in the future is something that still has to be fleshed out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The statement also says the Ukrainian delegation &#8220;reiterated that European partners shall be involved in the peace process&#8221;, but sheds no light on how Washington views the likely parameters of European involvement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The meeting in Saudi Arabia feels like a timely reset after the turbulence of recent days. It doesn&#8217;t mean that the US and Ukraine are fully aligned on the way forward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If President Zelensky ever had any doubts, he now knows that he&#8217;s dealing with a capricious, volatile American president for whom past loyalties and traditional diplomatic behaviour mean very little.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He&#8217;ll do what he can to keep the ball in Russia&#8217;s court, but he knows there&#8217;s every chance it could end up back in his.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BBC: As US Secretary of State Marco Rubio says, &#8220;the ball is now in Russia&#8217;s court.&#8221; This is a significant moment. The joint statement from the US and Ukraine, after a long day of talks in Jeddah, contains several key lines, perhaps none more important than this: &#8220;The United States will communicate to Russia that Russian reciprocity is the key to achieving peace.&#8221; We&#8217;ve heard a lot, in recent weeks, about what Donald Trump expects from Ukraine and what sort of blunt instruments the White House is used to bend Kyiv to its will. Now, it seems, it&#8217;s time for&#8230; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45419,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45418","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-in-english"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45418","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=45418"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45418\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45420,"href":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45418\/revisions\/45420"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/45419"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=45418"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=45418"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gyalchisarshog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=45418"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}